Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UNA +140 FGCU -166 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +17 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -2.4 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-32.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -1.1 (-15.9) | 148.8 (-21.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -2.1 (-14.9) | 147.9 (-20.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -1.2 (-15.8) | 145.9 (-18.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -1.6 (-15.4) | 147.1 (-20.1) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | FGCU 69 – 58 UNA |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 64 UNA |
| Jan 10, 2025 | FGCU 75 – 70 UNA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNA 70 – 69 FGCU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UNA 87 – 85 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#291) | -2.3 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#280) | -0.96 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#275) | -0.59 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#291) | 0.456 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.