Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -410 UNA +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -7.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -6.3 (+4.7) | 142.3 (-15.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -5.0 (+6.0) | 140.8 (-13.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -6.1 (+4.9) | 141.9 (-14.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -6.0 (+5.0) | 142.1 (-15.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 64 UNA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 55 UNA |
| Jan 10, 2025 | FGCU 75 – 70 UNA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNA 70 – 69 FGCU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UNA 87 – 85 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#261) | -13.3 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#269) | -1.92 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#259) | -2.58 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#270) | 0.415 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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