Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UNA -110 FGCU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -3.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -0.9 (+0.1) | 144.6 (-5.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -1.4 (-0.4) | 145.3 (-6.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -1.9 (-0.9) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -1.3 (-0.3) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | FGCU 69 – 58 UNA |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 64 UNA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 55 UNA |
| Jan 10, 2025 | FGCU 75 – 70 UNA |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UNA 87 – 85 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#255) | -4.9 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#265) | -0.85 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#253) | -1.05 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#269) | 0.450 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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