Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -450 UNA +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +2 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -10.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -7.5 (-9.5) | 146.8 (+25.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -8.5 (-10.5) | 144.9 (+27.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -7.1 (-9.1) | 147.4 (+24.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -7.6 (-9.6) | 148.1 (+23.9) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | FGCU 69 – 58 UNA |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 64 UNA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 55 UNA |
| Jan 10, 2025 | FGCU 75 – 70 UNA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNA 70 – 69 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#169) | -7.0 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#140) | -0.22 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#129) | -0.66 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#117) | 0.483 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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