Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -575 UNA +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -11.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -11.4 (-3.4) | 150.7 (-14.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -8.5 (-0.5) | 146.6 (-10.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -9.8 (-1.8) | 150.0 (-14.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -9.6 (-1.6) | 150.0 (-14.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | FGCU 69 – 58 UNA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 55 UNA |
| Jan 10, 2025 | FGCU 75 – 70 UNA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNA 70 – 69 FGCU |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UNA 87 – 85 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#236) | -12.5 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#284) | -1.98 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#253) | -2.76 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#270) | 0.396 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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