Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | MONT +102 UNCO -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -1.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -1.4 (+10.4) | 155.9 (+11.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -0.2 (+8.8) | 155.2 (+11.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -0.4 (+9.4) | 155.3 (+11.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -0.5 (+9.5) | 159.4 (+7.6) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONT 95 – 89 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 57 MONT |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MONT 91 – 83 UNCO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONT 86 – 78 UNCO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNCO 81 – 57 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#213) | 1.9 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#222) | 0.84 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#213) | 0.92 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#215) | 0.526 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 11.9% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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