We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Northern Colorado Bears
83 91
FINAL Neutral Conference Big Sky
Montana Grizzlies
Big Sky Conference · Idaho Central Arena (Neutral) · March 13, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UNCO -2.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money UNCO -150 / MONT +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNCO win
Actual MONT +8 174 Lost
Massey UNCO -3.5 (-11.5)
Massey Totals 155.3 (+18.7)
Bradley-Terry 46%
Weighted B-T 54%
Baseline Plus ML UNCO -2.2 (-10.2) 149.9 (+24.1) 58%
Model 4 ML UNCO -2.4 (-10.4) 146.7 (+27.3) 57%
Model 3 ML UNCO -3.3 (-11.3) 148.4 (+25.6) 62%
Baseline ML UNCO -2.5 (-10.5) 147.5 (+26.5) 60%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 9, 2026 MONT 9589 UNCO
Mar 3, 2026 UNCO 8557 MONT
Jan 3, 2026 MONT 8879 UNCO
Feb 7, 2025 MONT 8678 UNCO
Jan 11, 2025 UNCO 8157 MONT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNCO MONT
Overall 25-10 25-10
Conference 15-3 15-3
Home 13-2 15-1
Away 9-7 7-8
Neutral 3-1 3-1
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 79.4 75.2
Avg Pts Against 74.5 75.0
Massey 3.1 (#120) -0.4 (#165)
Bradley-Terry 0.68 (#116) 0.83 (#101)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.80 (#114) 0.66 (#122)
RPI 0.539 (#104) 0.573 (#53)
Shooting & Four Factors UNCO MONT
FG% 50.1% 49.2%
3PT% 36.4% 36.0%
REB / G 34.0 30.8
OREB / G 7.9 6.8
AST / TO 1.39 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.1% 55.9%
TOV% 15.9% 16.3%
ORB% 25.2% 22.5%
FT Rate 24.1% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 15.4% 15.6%
DRB% 77.8% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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