Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -150 MONT +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +8 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -3.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -2.3 (-10.3) | 148.2 (+25.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -1.8 (-9.8) | 146.2 (+27.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -1.4 (-9.4) | 148.6 (+25.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -1.7 (-9.7) | 148.0 (+26.0) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONT 95 – 89 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 57 MONT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MONT 88 – 79 UNCO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONT 86 – 78 UNCO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNCO 81 – 57 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#120) | -0.4 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#116) | 0.83 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#114) | 0.66 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#104) | 0.573 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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