Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -165 UNCO +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +24 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -1.3 (-25.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.1 (-28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -0.8 (-24.8) | 158.9 (-20.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -0.6 (-24.6) | 156.3 (-18.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -0.5 (-24.5) | 158.8 (-20.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -0.6 (-24.6) | 160.5 (-22.5) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONT 95 – 89 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 57 MONT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MONT 88 – 79 UNCO |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MONT 91 – 83 UNCO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONT 86 – 78 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#181) | 1.4 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#94) | 0.68 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#108) | 0.74 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#68) | 0.513 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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