Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MONT +154 UNCO -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +6 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -3.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+29.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -3.7 (+9.7) | 146.2 (+37.8) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -3.2 (+9.2) | 146.8 (+37.2) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -3.4 (+9.4) | 149.1 (+34.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -3.5 (+9.5) | 146.9 (+37.1) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 57 MONT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MONT 88 – 79 UNCO |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MONT 91 – 83 UNCO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONT 86 – 78 UNCO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNCO 81 – 57 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#193) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#214) | 0.06 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#196) | 0.21 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#199) | 0.506 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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