Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -225 MONT +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +8 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -7.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -4.4 (-12.4) | 151.7 (+12.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -5.4 (-13.4) | 152.9 (+11.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -5.8 (-13.8) | 153.7 (+10.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -6.3 (-14.3) | 154.1 (+9.9) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONT 95 – 89 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 57 MONT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MONT 88 – 79 UNCO |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MONT 91 – 83 UNCO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNCO 81 – 57 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#131) | -2.6 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#112) | 0.45 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#103) | 0.16 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#132) | 0.534 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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