Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO -270 MONT +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +28 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -4.9 (+23.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -5.8 (+22.2) | 150.5 (-8.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -4.9 (+23.1) | 149.4 (-7.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -7.0 (+21.0) | 152.3 (-10.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -5.5 (+22.5) | 151.8 (-9.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONT 95 – 89 UNCO |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MONT 88 – 79 UNCO |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MONT 91 – 83 UNCO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONT 86 – 78 UNCO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNCO 81 – 57 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#149) | -1.0 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#163) | -0.34 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#156) | -0.33 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#182) | 0.493 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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