Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -265 LSU +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -2.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.0 (-29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -3.5 (-0.5) | 161.0 (-14.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -2.0 (+1.0) | 162.5 (-15.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -1.5 (+1.5) | 162.4 (-15.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -2.2 (+0.8) | 162.9 (-15.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TA&M 94 – 91 LSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TA&M 66 – 52 LSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TA&M 68 – 57 LSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TA&M 73 – 69 LSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | LSU 68 – 53 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.1 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#41) | 14.5 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#67) | 3.11 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#74) | 4.04 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#126) | 0.596 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.77 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 35.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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