Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | LSU +115 TA&M -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -0.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -0.6 (-3.4) | 142.8 (-0.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -2.4 (-6.4) | 144.5 (-2.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -2.6 (-6.6) | 145.7 (-3.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -1.3 (-5.3) | 146.6 (-4.6) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TA&M 94 – 91 LSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TA&M 66 – 52 LSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TA&M 68 – 57 LSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | LSU 68 – 53 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#90) | 10.7 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#73) | 1.55 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#67) | 2.14 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#99) | 0.570 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 43.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 18.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 44.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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