We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
LSU Tigers
69 – 73
FINAL Conference
Texas A&M Aggies
Southeastern Conference · Pete Maravich Assembly Center · January 20, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TA&M -2.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money LSU +115 / TA&M -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total LSU win
Actual TA&M +4 142 Lost
Massey TA&M -0.5 (-3.5) — —
Massey Totals — 147.1 (-5.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LSU -1.3 (-5.3) 146.6 (-4.6) 58% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TA&M -0.6 (-3.4) 142.8 (-0.8) 48% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LSU -2.4 (-6.4) 144.5 (-2.5) 63% ✗
Baseline ML LSU -2.6 (-6.6) 145.7 (-3.7) 67% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 TA&M 94 – 91 LSU
Jan 3, 2026 TA&M 75 – 72 LSU
Mar 8, 2025 TA&M 66 – 52 LSU
Jan 19, 2025 TA&M 68 – 57 LSU
Jan 7, 2024 LSU 68 – 53 TA&M

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LSU TA&M
Overall 17-16 21-15
Conference 9-9 9-9
Home 12-6 10-5
Away 3-7 6-6
Neutral 2-3 5-4
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.4 76.0
Avg Pts Against 75.0 72.0
Massey 6.5 (#90) 10.7 (#46)
Bradley-Terry 1.41 (#73) 1.55 (#64)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.97 (#67) 2.14 (#58)
RPI 0.550 (#99) 0.570 (#71)
Shooting & Four Factors LSU TA&M
FG% 46.2% 39.6%
3PT% 34.0% 26.5%
REB / G 36.9 43.8
OREB / G 10.4 18.8
AST / TO 0.90 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 44.7%
TOV% 18.8% 14.8%
ORB% 30.5% 44.2%
FT Rate 28.4% 26.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.0% 48.4%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 17.6%
DRB% 69.9% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 24.6%

Game Analysis

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