Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -900 LSU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +11 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -9.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -9.3 (+1.7) | 147.3 (-22.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -9.3 (+1.7) | 146.7 (-21.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -8.6 (+2.4) | 148.1 (-23.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -8.9 (+2.1) | 148.0 (-23.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TA&M 94 – 91 LSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TA&M 66 – 52 LSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TA&M 73 – 69 LSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | LSU 68 – 53 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 16.1 (#23) | 10.2 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.25 (#17) | 1.88 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.01 (#19) | 2.31 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#16) | 0.544 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 16.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 43.4% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.