Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LSU +250 TA&M -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +14 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -5.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -3.6 (-10.4) | 143.1 (-25.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -5.2 (-8.8) | 140.9 (-22.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.8 (-10.2) | 141.3 (-23.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -3.8 (-10.2) | 142.5 (-24.5) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TA&M 94 – 91 LSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 72 LSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TA&M 68 – 57 LSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TA&M 73 – 69 LSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | LSU 68 – 53 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#70) | 16.6 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#64) | 3.31 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#66) | 4.07 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#156) | 0.625 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 16.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 42.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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