Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | LSU +120 TA&M -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +3 | 185 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -1.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -0.0 (-3.0) | 166.5 (+18.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -0.4 (-2.6) | 161.1 (+23.9) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -0.0 (-3.0) | 161.8 (+23.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -0.9 (-2.1) | 165.2 (+19.8) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TA&M 66 – 52 LSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TA&M 68 – 57 LSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TA&M 73 – 69 LSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | LSU 68 – 53 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 86.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#58) | 14.8 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#84) | 2.25 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#76) | 3.01 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#136) | 0.556 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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