Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | TA&M -700 LSU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +15 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -12.9 (-27.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -11.5 (-26.5) | 143.4 (-22.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -11.8 (-26.8) | 141.6 (-20.6) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -11.5 (-26.5) | 145.4 (-24.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -11.5 (-26.5) | 145.6 (-24.6) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TA&M 94 – 91 LSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TA&M 66 – 52 LSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TA&M 68 – 57 LSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TA&M 73 – 69 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#29) | 4.0 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#39) | 0.51 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#40) | 0.94 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#51) | 0.495 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 43.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 18.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 46.1% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.