Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · January 3, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -9.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money RUTG +340 / OSU -440
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual OSU +7 153 Lost
Massey OSU -11.9 (+4.9) — —
Massey Totals — 153.2 (-0.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 26% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 10% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OSU -9.1 (+2.1) 146.7 (+6.3) 20% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OSU -8.5 (+1.5) 147.1 (+5.9) 21% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -9.8 (+2.8) 147.2 (+5.8) 17% ✓
Baseline ML OSU -9.3 (+2.3) 147.9 (+5.1) 19% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2024 OSU 80 – 66 RUTG
Mar 10, 2024 OSU 73 – 51 RUTG
Jan 4, 2024 OSU 76 – 72 RUTG
Jan 15, 2023 RUTG 68 – 64 OSU
Dec 9, 2022 OSU 67 – 66 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG OSU
Overall 14-20 21-13
Conference 6-14 12-8
Home 10-7 14-3
Away 2-9 5-6
Neutral 2-4 2-4
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 70.5 79.3
Avg Pts Against 75.3 72.6
Massey -2.1 (#197) 13.7 (#37)
Bradley-Terry 0.05 (#170) 1.71 (#65)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.44 (#195) 2.49 (#65)
RPI 0.495 (#187) 0.574 (#64)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG OSU
FG% 40.3% 50.9%
3PT% 32.3% 33.7%
REB / G 36.4 36.9
OREB / G 12.8 9.8
AST / TO 0.87 1.57
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.9% 57.8%
TOV% 17.9% 15.5%
ORB% 34.9% 32.0%
FT Rate 29.7% 32.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 16.9%
DRB% 67.0% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.1% 23.2%

Game Analysis

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