Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · January 3, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -9.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money RUTG +340 / OSU -440
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual OSU +7 153 Lost
Massey OSU -11.9 (+4.9)
Massey Totals 153.2 (-0.2)
Bradley-Terry 26%
Weighted B-T 10%
Efficiency Plus ML OSU -8.5 (+1.5) 147.1 (+5.9) 21%
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -9.8 (+2.8) 147.2 (+5.8) 17%
Baseline ML OSU -9.3 (+2.3) 147.9 (+5.1) 19%
Baseline Plus ML OSU -9.1 (+2.1) 146.7 (+6.3) 20%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2024 OSU 8066 RUTG
Mar 10, 2024 OSU 7351 RUTG
Jan 4, 2024 OSU 7672 RUTG
Jan 15, 2023 RUTG 6864 OSU
Dec 9, 2022 OSU 6766 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG OSU
Overall 14-20 21-13
Conference 6-14 12-8
Home 10-7 14-3
Away 2-9 5-6
Neutral 2-4 2-4
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 70.5 79.3
Avg Pts Against 75.3 72.6
Massey -2.1 (#197) 13.7 (#37)
Bradley-Terry 0.05 (#170) 1.71 (#65)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.44 (#195) 2.49 (#65)
RPI 0.495 (#187) 0.574 (#64)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG OSU
FG% 40.3% 50.9%
3PT% 32.3% 33.7%
REB / G 36.4 36.9
OREB / G 12.8 9.8
AST / TO 0.87 1.57
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.9% 57.8%
TOV% 17.9% 15.5%
ORB% 34.9% 32.0%
FT Rate 29.7% 32.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 16.9%
DRB% 67.0% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.1% 23.2%

Game Analysis

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