Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY +260 COLG -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -6.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -4.3 (-2.7) | 150.1 (-5.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -5.1 (-1.9) | 149.9 (-4.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -3.6 (-3.4) | 147.7 (-2.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -4.5 (-2.5) | 149.0 (-4.0) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | COLG 69 – 55 ARMY |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COLG 84 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARMY 84 – 72 COLG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
| Feb 1, 2024 | COLG 74 – 55 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#318) | -0.6 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#260) | -0.59 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#293) | -0.81 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#280) | 0.503 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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