You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Colgate Raiders
84 55
FINAL Conference Patriot League
Army Black Knights
Patriot League · Cotterell Court · March 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread COLG -6.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money COLG -320 / ARMY +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLG win
Actual COLG +29 139 Won
Massey COLG -6.9 (+22.1)
Massey Totals 151.2 (-12.2)
Bradley-Terry 61%
Weighted B-T 70%
Efficiency Plus ML COLG -7.7 (+21.3) 144.0 (-5.0) 80%
Baseline Tuned ML COLG -5.0 (+24.0) 146.3 (-7.3) 69%
Baseline ML COLG -4.9 (+24.1) 147.3 (-8.3) 73%
Baseline Plus ML COLG -4.4 (+24.6) 148.3 (-9.3) 76%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2026 COLG 6955 ARMY
Jan 3, 2026 COLG 7669 ARMY
Jan 29, 2025 ARMY 8472 COLG
Jan 3, 2025 COLG 7159 ARMY
Feb 1, 2024 COLG 7455 ARMY

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLG ARMY
Overall 14-19 17-16
Conference 10-8 10-8
Home 10-4 12-4
Away 4-13 4-11
Neutral 0-2 1-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.4 71.7
Avg Pts Against 72.7 76.5
Massey -5.4 (#252) -9.0 (#311)
Bradley-Terry -1.12 (#271) -0.99 (#260)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.35 (#270) -1.53 (#283)
RPI 0.465 (#252) 0.480 (#226)
Shooting & Four Factors COLG ARMY
FG% 46.5% 43.7%
3PT% 35.5% 31.4%
REB / G 31.8 34.2
OREB / G 7.7 9.6
AST / TO 1.24 1.32
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 50.1%
TOV% 16.8% 14.8%
ORB% 23.7% 26.1%
FT Rate 16.9% 18.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.8% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 16.1%
DRB% 72.7% 70.4%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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