Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -320 ARMY +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +29 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -6.9 (+22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -4.4 (+24.6) | 148.3 (-9.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -7.7 (+21.3) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -5.0 (+24.0) | 146.3 (-7.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -4.9 (+24.1) | 147.3 (-8.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | COLG 69 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLG 76 – 69 ARMY |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARMY 84 – 72 COLG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
| Feb 1, 2024 | COLG 74 – 55 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#252) | -9.0 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#271) | -0.99 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#270) | -1.53 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#252) | 0.480 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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