Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -675 ARMY +490 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +14 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -12.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-32.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -11.3 (+2.7) | 150.9 (-26.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -9.0 (+5.0) | 149.4 (-25.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -10.5 (+3.5) | 149.4 (-25.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -10.9 (+3.1) | 150.8 (-26.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLG 76 – 69 ARMY |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COLG 84 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARMY 84 – 72 COLG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
| Feb 1, 2024 | COLG 74 – 55 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-10 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#203) | -12.2 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#227) | -1.69 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#214) | -2.55 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#194) | 0.435 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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