Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY +180 COLG -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -1.9 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -2.1 (+14.1) | 143.7 (+12.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -2.3 (+14.3) | 144.6 (+11.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -2.4 (+14.4) | 143.0 (+13.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -2.0 (+14.0) | 143.9 (+12.1) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | COLG 69 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLG 76 – 69 ARMY |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COLG 84 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
| Feb 1, 2024 | COLG 74 – 55 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#300) | -3.1 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#243) | -0.88 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#271) | -0.96 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#231) | 0.460 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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