Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -1400 ARMY +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +19 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -15.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -11.4 (+7.6) | 127.3 (+1.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -12.4 (+6.6) | 127.5 (+1.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -12.1 (+6.9) | 126.7 (+2.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -12.5 (+6.5) | 126.3 (+2.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | COLG 69 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLG 76 – 69 ARMY |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COLG 84 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARMY 84 – 72 COLG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-11 |
| Away | 10-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 59.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#145) | -10.1 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#144) | -2.66 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#157) | -3.04 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#136) | 0.370 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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