Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | LIN -535 USI +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -14.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -10.5 (-7.5) | 145.0 (+18.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -14.5 (-11.5) | 139.8 (+23.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -13.4 (-10.4) | 140.5 (+22.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -13.5 (-10.5) | 145.1 (+17.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | LIN 73 – 60 USI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIN 81 – 78 USI |
| Jan 17, 2025 | USI 80 – 73 LIN |
| Mar 1, 2024 | LIN 67 – 63 USI |
| Dec 31, 2023 | USI 73 – 62 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-5 | 3-10 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#200) | -13.0 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#172) | -3.45 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#174) | -4.12 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#177) | 0.315 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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