Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | USI +200 LIN -245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +13 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -3.2 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -2.8 (-10.2) | 143.9 (-10.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -2.5 (-10.5) | 147.2 (-14.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -2.7 (-10.3) | 141.2 (-8.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -3.2 (-9.8) | 141.6 (-8.6) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIN 83 – 80 USI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIN 81 – 78 USI |
| Jan 17, 2025 | USI 80 – 73 LIN |
| Mar 1, 2024 | LIN 67 – 63 USI |
| Dec 31, 2023 | USI 73 – 62 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 11-9 |
| Home | 3-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#321) | -4.5 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#354) | -0.73 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.29 (#348) | -1.04 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#361) | 0.471 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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