Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | LIN -165 USI +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -3.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -1.8 (+1.2) | 139.4 (+19.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -3.0 (+0.0) | 138.6 (+20.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -2.4 (+0.6) | 135.9 (+23.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -2.5 (+0.5) | 136.2 (+22.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | LIN 73 – 60 USI |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIN 83 – 80 USI |
| Jan 17, 2025 | USI 80 – 73 LIN |
| Mar 1, 2024 | LIN 67 – 63 USI |
| Dec 31, 2023 | USI 73 – 62 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#327) | -10.9 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#307) | -1.98 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#327) | -2.71 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#297) | 0.398 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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