Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | USI -120 LIN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +7 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | USI -3.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -1.6 (+5.4) | 138.9 (+14.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -2.1 (+4.9) | 137.7 (+15.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -1.0 (+6.0) | 136.0 (+17.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USI -0.9 (+6.1) | 135.8 (+17.2) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | LIN 73 – 60 USI |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIN 83 – 80 USI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIN 81 – 78 USI |
| Mar 1, 2024 | LIN 67 – 63 USI |
| Dec 31, 2023 | USI 73 – 62 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#319) | -9.0 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#323) | -1.60 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#318) | -2.53 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#349) | 0.424 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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