Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | USI -500 LIN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -9.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -6.8 (-10.8) | 144.8 (-14.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -7.3 (-11.3) | 140.6 (-10.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -8.2 (-12.2) | 141.7 (-11.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -7.4 (-11.4) | 143.5 (-13.5) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | LIN 73 – 60 USI |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIN 83 – 80 USI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIN 81 – 78 USI |
| Jan 17, 2025 | USI 80 – 73 LIN |
| Dec 31, 2023 | USI 73 – 62 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 3-15 |
| Home | 5-10 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#321) | -16.3 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#338) | -2.74 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#336) | -3.38 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#328) | 0.367 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.9% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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