Well New York City really has it all. "Sheena Is a Punk Rocker" - The Ramones
Ohio Valley Conference · Hyland Arena · December 31, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LIN -2.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money LIN -120 / USI +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIN win
Actual USI +11 135 Lost
Massey LIN -3.9 (-14.9)
Massey Totals 135.0 (-0.0)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 98%
Efficiency Plus ML LIN -0.9 (-11.9) 136.9 (-1.9) 48%
Baseline Tuned ML LIN -3.4 (-14.4) 135.5 (-0.5) 64%
Baseline ML LIN -2.2 (-13.2) 137.2 (-2.2) 52%
Baseline Plus ML LIN -2.1 (-13.1) 138.4 (-3.4) 55%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 30, 2026 LIN 7360 USI
Jan 3, 2026 LIN 8380 USI
Feb 15, 2025 LIN 8178 USI
Jan 17, 2025 USI 8073 LIN
Mar 1, 2024 LIN 6763 USI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIN USI
Overall 9-22 8-24
Conference 3-15 5-13
Home 4-10 5-10
Away 3-12 3-13
Neutral 2-0 0-1
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 63.4 66.9
Avg Pts Against 74.9 75.0
Massey -11.2 (#336) -10.5 (#328)
Bradley-Terry -1.75 (#313) -3.71 (#358)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.28 (#314) -5.27 (#360)
RPI 0.413 (#313) 0.386 (#341)
Shooting & Four Factors LIN USI
FG% 38.0% 38.2%
3PT% 28.7% 28.8%
REB / G 32.5 36.9
OREB / G 8.8 9.8
AST / TO 0.52 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.5% 43.2%
TOV% 18.7% 21.2%
ORB% 23.8% 26.0%
FT Rate 28.5% 18.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 14.3%
DRB% 73.1% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 34.1% 30.7%

Game Analysis

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