Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -2800 PEPP +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +19 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -21.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -15.9 (+3.1) | 142.6 (+2.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -19.2 (-0.2) | 141.6 (+3.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -17.6 (+1.4) | 143.2 (+1.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -17.7 (+1.3) | 143.3 (+1.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | PEPP 78 – 76 SCU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SCU 91 – 80 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SCU 94 – 71 PEPP |
| Jan 7, 2024 | SCU 78 – 72 PEPP |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SCU 91 – 82 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-10 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#56) | -6.7 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#60) | -1.37 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#51) | -1.54 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#35) | 0.424 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 40.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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