Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | PEPP +122 SCU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -2.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -3.0 (-3.0) | 140.2 (+9.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -2.2 (-3.8) | 138.5 (+11.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -3.0 (-3.0) | 141.0 (+9.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -3.3 (-2.7) | 140.0 (+10.0) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCU 82 – 63 PEPP |
| Mar 10, 2025 | PEPP 78 – 76 SCU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SCU 91 – 80 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SCU 94 – 71 PEPP |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SCU 91 – 82 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#224) | 3.4 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#287) | 0.90 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#274) | 1.22 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#290) | 0.541 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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