Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -2000 PEPP +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -15.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -14.7 (-16.7) | 154.5 (-0.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -14.5 (-16.5) | 155.1 (-1.1) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -14.6 (-16.6) | 154.8 (-0.8) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -15.3 (-17.3) | 155.2 (-1.2) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCU 82 – 63 PEPP |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SCU 91 – 80 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SCU 94 – 71 PEPP |
| Jan 7, 2024 | SCU 78 – 72 PEPP |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SCU 91 – 82 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 13-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#51) | -4.0 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#73) | -1.08 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#68) | -1.17 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#73) | 0.447 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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