Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -500 PEPP +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +23 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -10.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -8.8 (+14.2) | 149.5 (+15.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SCU -9.6 (+13.4) | 147.7 (+17.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SCU -8.3 (+14.7) | 148.9 (+16.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -8.4 (+14.6) | 150.0 (+15.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCU 82 – 63 PEPP |
| Mar 10, 2025 | PEPP 78 – 76 SCU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SCU 91 – 80 PEPP |
| Jan 7, 2024 | SCU 78 – 72 PEPP |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SCU 91 – 82 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#114) | -2.9 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#91) | -0.86 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#99) | -0.95 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#114) | 0.444 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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