They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
Santa Clara Broncos
94 – 71
FINAL Conference
Pepperdine Waves
West Coast Conference · Leavey Center · January 26, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -9.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money SCU -500 / PEPP +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +23 165 Won
Massey SCU -10.0 (+13.0) — —
Massey Totals — 148.2 (+16.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -8.3 (+14.7) 148.9 (+16.1) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -9.6 (+13.4) 147.7 (+17.3) 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCU -8.8 (+14.2) 149.5 (+15.5) 81% ✓
Baseline ML SCU -8.4 (+14.6) 150.0 (+15.0) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 3, 2026 SCU 82 – 63 PEPP
Mar 10, 2025 PEPP 78 – 76 SCU
Dec 29, 2024 SCU 91 – 80 PEPP
Jan 7, 2024 SCU 78 – 72 PEPP
Feb 24, 2023 SCU 91 – 82 PEPP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU PEPP
Overall 20-13 13-20
Conference 10-6 5-11
Home 11-4 9-8
Away 5-6 3-8
Neutral 4-3 1-4
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.0 72.4
Avg Pts Against 72.3 75.2
Massey 3.4 (#114) -2.9 (#214)
Bradley-Terry 1.13 (#91) -0.86 (#258)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.27 (#99) -0.95 (#250)
RPI 0.538 (#114) 0.444 (#274)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU PEPP
FG% 46.4% 44.4%
3PT% 35.9% 33.6%
REB / G 38.1 34.1
OREB / G 10.9 11.2
AST / TO 1.14 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 49.5%
TOV% 18.9% 16.7%
ORB% 32.0% 30.9%
FT Rate 20.9% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 54.4%
Opp TOV% 14.9% 18.2%
DRB% 72.1% 74.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 26.4%

Game Analysis

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