I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Santa Clara Broncos
91 – 80
FINAL Conference
Pepperdine Waves
West Coast Conference · Leavey Center · December 29, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -14.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Over
Money SCU -2000 / PEPP +1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +11 171 Won
Massey SCU -13.9 (-2.9) — —
Massey Totals — 152.0 (+19.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -12.8 (-1.8) 150.2 (+20.8) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -12.7 (-1.7) 150.4 (+20.6) 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCU -11.3 (-0.3) 150.0 (+21.0) 86% ✓
Baseline ML SCU -12.0 (-1.0) 150.8 (+20.2) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 3, 2026 SCU 82 – 63 PEPP
Mar 10, 2025 PEPP 78 – 76 SCU
Jan 26, 2024 SCU 94 – 71 PEPP
Jan 7, 2024 SCU 78 – 72 PEPP
Feb 24, 2023 SCU 91 – 82 PEPP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU PEPP
Overall 21-13 13-22
Conference 12-6 4-14
Home 12-5 7-9
Away 6-5 2-11
Neutral 3-3 4-2
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 81.9 71.8
Avg Pts Against 73.0 77.2
Massey 7.8 (#72) -1.8 (#194)
Bradley-Terry 1.07 (#87) -1.02 (#266)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.48 (#89) -1.16 (#251)
RPI 0.578 (#59) 0.447 (#272)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU PEPP
FG% 45.0% 44.5%
3PT% 34.5% 34.8%
REB / G 38.9 36.7
OREB / G 12.8 9.2
AST / TO 1.27 1.27
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 50.4%
TOV% 17.9% 17.6%
ORB% 35.2% 27.2%
FT Rate 22.5% 25.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 15.6%
DRB% 70.0% 72.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.2% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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