Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -2000 PEPP +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +11 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -13.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -11.3 (-0.3) | 150.0 (+21.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SCU -12.7 (-1.7) | 150.4 (+20.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SCU -12.8 (-1.8) | 150.2 (+20.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -12.0 (-1.0) | 150.8 (+20.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCU 82 – 63 PEPP |
| Mar 10, 2025 | PEPP 78 – 76 SCU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SCU 94 – 71 PEPP |
| Jan 7, 2024 | SCU 78 – 72 PEPP |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SCU 91 – 82 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 13-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#72) | -1.8 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#87) | -1.02 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#89) | -1.16 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#59) | 0.447 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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