Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -600 PEPP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +9 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -10.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -11.9 (-2.9) | 160.5 (+12.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -12.3 (-3.3) | 163.6 (+9.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -11.6 (-2.6) | 163.9 (+9.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -11.6 (-2.6) | 162.4 (+10.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCU 82 – 63 PEPP |
| Mar 10, 2025 | PEPP 78 – 76 SCU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SCU 91 – 80 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SCU 94 – 71 PEPP |
| Jan 7, 2024 | SCU 78 – 72 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 2-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-3 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#85) | -0.5 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#55) | -0.75 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#55) | -0.53 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#63) | 0.471 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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