Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UNH +245 UVM -305 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +19 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -4.9 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -5.1 (-13.9) | 139.6 (+1.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -6.6 (-12.4) | 142.4 (-1.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -5.3 (-13.7) | 142.0 (-1.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -4.4 (-14.6) | 141.4 (-0.4) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVM 80 – 57 UNH |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UVM 64 – 57 UNH |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UVM 79 – 59 UNH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVM 60 – 40 UNH |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UVM 66 – 59 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 12-4 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-16 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#312) | -1.6 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#337) | -0.25 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.63 (#343) | -0.31 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#292) | 0.510 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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