Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -1600 UNH +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +20 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -12.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -9.6 (+10.4) | 132.9 (+5.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -10.8 (+9.2) | 132.2 (+5.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -10.6 (+9.4) | 132.6 (+5.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -10.8 (+9.2) | 131.8 (+6.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVM 80 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UVM 80 – 61 UNH |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UVM 64 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVM 60 – 40 UNH |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UVM 66 – 59 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#275) | -16.6 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#215) | -2.57 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#225) | -3.22 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#186) | 0.384 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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