Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | UNH +550 UVM -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +20 | 100 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -5.3 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (-26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -6.7 (-13.3) | 128.0 (-28.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -6.1 (-13.9) | 131.0 (-31.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -5.7 (-14.3) | 128.1 (-28.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -6.4 (-13.6) | 129.5 (-29.5) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVM 80 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UVM 80 – 61 UNH |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UVM 64 – 57 UNH |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UVM 79 – 59 UNH |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UVM 66 – 59 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 13-3 |
| Home | 6-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 65.0 |
| Massey | -16.5 (#359) | -7.1 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.15 (#363) | -0.95 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.55 (#363) | -1.16 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#353) | 0.448 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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