Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -2000 UNH +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +7 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -11.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -11.4 (-4.4) | 138.8 (-13.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -11.4 (-4.4) | 137.5 (-12.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -11.7 (-4.7) | 137.7 (-12.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -12.1 (-5.1) | 141.0 (-16.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVM 80 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UVM 80 – 61 UNH |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UVM 64 – 57 UNH |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UVM 79 – 59 UNH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVM 60 – 40 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 7-9 |
| Home | 16-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-4 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#106) | -4.0 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#71) | -0.24 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#75) | -0.58 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#29) | 0.504 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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