Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -1800 UNH +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +7 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -15.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -12.3 (-5.3) | 132.9 (-11.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -13.3 (-6.3) | 135.4 (-14.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -12.5 (-5.5) | 134.1 (-13.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -12.6 (-5.6) | 131.9 (-10.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVM 80 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UVM 80 – 61 UNH |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UVM 79 – 59 UNH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVM 60 – 40 UNH |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UVM 66 – 59 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#238) | -16.4 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#180) | -2.28 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#188) | -2.89 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#116) | 0.395 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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