Today Billie Joe McAllister jumped off the Tallahatchee Bridge "Ode to Billie Joe" - Bobbie Gentry
Atlantic Coast Conference · McCamish Pavilion · January 3, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread GT -6.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money GT -270 / BC +220
Model Predictions
Spread Total GT win
Actual GT +12 118 Won
Massey GT -7.2 (+4.8)
Massey Totals 139.5 (-21.5)
Bradley-Terry 74%
Weighted B-T 63%
Baseline Plus ML GT -5.3 (+6.7) 138.5 (-20.5) 71%
Model 4 ML GT -5.6 (+6.4) 140.4 (-22.4) 72%
Model 3 ML GT -5.4 (+6.6) 135.4 (-17.4) 73%
Baseline ML GT -5.2 (+6.8) 136.2 (-18.2) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2025 BC 6954 GT
Jan 4, 2025 GT 8564 BC
Jan 6, 2024 BC 9587 GT
Mar 4, 2023 GT 7365 BC
Mar 5, 2022 GT 8278 BC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GT BC
Overall 11-20 11-20
Conference 2-16 4-14
Home 10-9 10-7
Away 1-9 1-10
Neutral 0-2 0-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L12 W1
Avg Pts For 73.8 67.4
Avg Pts Against 77.4 70.7
Massey 2.1 (#136) -1.2 (#186)
Bradley-Terry -0.13 (#185) -0.52 (#224)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.54 (#203) -0.36 (#189)
RPI 0.492 (#193) 0.458 (#252)
Shooting & Four Factors GT BC
FG% 46.0% 40.4%
3PT% 36.5% 29.1%
REB / G 39.9 40.0
OREB / G 11.5 12.2
AST / TO 1.27 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 47.0%
TOV% 19.1% 15.1%
ORB% 32.5% 31.3%
FT Rate 23.8% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.0% 44.7%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 15.2%
DRB% 70.4% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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