Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | GT -270 BC +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +12 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | GT -7.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -5.4 (+6.6) | 135.4 (-17.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -5.6 (+6.4) | 140.4 (-22.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -5.3 (+6.7) | 138.5 (-20.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -5.2 (+6.8) | 136.2 (-18.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | BC 69 – 54 GT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GT 85 – 64 BC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BC 95 – 87 GT |
| Mar 4, 2023 | GT 73 – 65 BC |
| Mar 5, 2022 | GT 82 – 78 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-9 | 10-7 |
| Away | 1-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#136) | -1.2 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#185) | -0.52 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#203) | -0.36 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#193) | 0.458 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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