Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | GT -340 BC +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +21 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | GT -9.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -7.8 (+13.2) | 144.9 (+4.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -5.5 (+15.5) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -7.2 (+13.8) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -6.5 (+14.5) | 145.8 (+3.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | GT 65 – 53 BC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BC 69 – 54 GT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BC 95 – 87 GT |
| Mar 4, 2023 | GT 73 – 65 BC |
| Mar 5, 2022 | GT 82 – 78 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-6 | 9-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#119) | -2.7 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#206) | 0.25 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#196) | 0.01 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#249) | 0.503 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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