Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | GT -140 BC +118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +8 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | GT -0.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+33.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -1.5 (-9.5) | 146.3 (+35.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -1.2 (-9.2) | 148.2 (+33.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -0.8 (-8.8) | 148.3 (+33.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GT -1.0 (-9.0) | 148.3 (+33.7) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | GT 65 – 53 BC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BC 69 – 54 GT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GT 85 – 64 BC |
| Mar 4, 2023 | GT 73 – 65 BC |
| Mar 5, 2022 | GT 82 – 78 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 20-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#132) | 6.6 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#82) | 0.99 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#80) | 1.37 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#59) | 0.558 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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