Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | BC -3.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -2.5 (-10.5) | 139.1 (-1.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -2.6 (-10.6) | 138.7 (-0.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -2.7 (-10.7) | 140.5 (-2.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BC -2.6 (-10.6) | 139.9 (-1.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | GT 65 – 53 BC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BC 69 – 54 GT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GT 85 – 64 BC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BC 95 – 87 GT |
| Mar 5, 2022 | GT 82 – 78 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#172) | -0.1 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#118) | 0.08 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#114) | 0.21 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#152) | 0.484 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.