Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | GT -1.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -2.6 (+1.4) | 135.7 (+24.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -3.0 (+1.0) | 134.2 (+25.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -1.6 (+2.4) | 137.3 (+22.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -1.9 (+2.1) | 136.5 (+23.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | GT 65 – 53 BC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BC 69 – 54 GT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GT 85 – 64 BC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BC 95 – 87 GT |
| Mar 4, 2023 | GT 73 – 65 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-10 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#158) | 1.2 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#189) | -0.17 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#167) | 0.05 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#256) | 0.454 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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