Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | RGV -148 AMCC +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +4 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -4.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -2.2 (-6.2) | 135.3 (-13.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -1.9 (-5.9) | 133.3 (-11.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -2.3 (-6.3) | 132.1 (-10.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -2.2 (-6.2) | 133.4 (-11.4) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | RGV 64 – 55 AMCC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RGV 83 – 73 AMCC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMCC 79 – 74 RGV |
| Dec 16, 2023 | AMCC 86 – 76 RGV |
| Dec 7, 2023 | RGV 76 – 74 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-8 | 13-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#179) | -1.3 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#253) | -0.53 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#236) | -0.49 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#251) | 0.503 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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