Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | RGV -125 AMCC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +10 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -2.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -2.1 (-12.1) | 143.9 (+18.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -0.6 (-10.6) | 144.6 (+17.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -3.0 (-13.0) | 143.2 (+18.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -2.7 (-12.7) | 142.6 (+19.4) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | RGV 64 – 55 AMCC |
| Jan 3, 2026 | AMCC 63 – 59 RGV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RGV 83 – 73 AMCC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMCC 79 – 74 RGV |
| Dec 7, 2023 | RGV 76 – 74 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 14-4 |
| Home | 5-9 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L14 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.7 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#324) | -7.2 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#291) | -1.89 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#308) | -2.67 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#195) | 0.404 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 24.6% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 38.1% |
Game Analysis
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