Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -175 RGV +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -11.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -8.5 (-10.5) | 144.6 (+5.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -8.0 (-10.0) | 144.3 (+5.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -8.6 (-10.6) | 144.4 (+5.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -8.8 (-10.8) | 147.1 (+2.9) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | RGV 64 – 55 AMCC |
| Jan 3, 2026 | AMCC 63 – 59 RGV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RGV 83 – 73 AMCC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMCC 79 – 74 RGV |
| Dec 16, 2023 | AMCC 86 – 76 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 2-18 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L14 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#267) | -10.8 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#250) | -3.34 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#281) | -5.48 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#224) | 0.438 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 23.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 40.9% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.0% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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