Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -142 RGV +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +9 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -4.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -2.9 (-11.9) | 131.6 (-12.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -3.3 (-12.3) | 132.7 (-13.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -2.1 (-11.1) | 130.1 (-11.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.8 (-11.8) | 130.6 (-11.6) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | AMCC 63 – 59 RGV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RGV 83 – 73 AMCC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMCC 79 – 74 RGV |
| Dec 16, 2023 | AMCC 86 – 76 RGV |
| Dec 7, 2023 | RGV 76 – 74 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-9 | 14-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#162) | -0.6 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#188) | -0.71 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#157) | -0.59 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#175) | 0.461 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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