Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -1100 ORU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -14.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -12.0 (-10.0) | 141.6 (+14.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -13.4 (-11.4) | 142.6 (+13.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -11.2 (-9.2) | 139.6 (+16.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -11.6 (-9.6) | 139.9 (+16.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | NDSU 73 – 60 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 10-5 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#129) | -7.9 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#150) | -1.52 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#139) | -1.88 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#146) | 0.428 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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